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Indian Rupee rebounded slightly against the US dollar to 84.8350.Shenzhen recently released four overcharge standards. According to the news of "Shenzhen Release", yesterday, the reporter learned from the Shenzhen Municipal Market Supervision Administration that Shenzhen has made further progress in promoting the construction of electric vehicle charging facilities, and recently took the lead in releasing four overcharge standards. At present, Shenzhen has issued six leading local standards for overcharging, including the grading evaluation standard for decentralized charging facilities for electric vehicles, grading evaluation standard for centralized charging stations for electric vehicles, long-term failure judgment standard for charging equipment for electric vehicles and management standard for construction of charging facilities for electric vehicles in residential quarters. As of December 5, Shenzhen has guided the construction of 913 overcharging stations, added 121,000 charging facilities and upgraded 3,047 old piles. The official implementation of the four latest overcharge standards issued by Shenzhen indicates that Shenzhen has taken another solid step on the road of building an "overcharged city".Guangdong: In the next five years, 10 billion yuan will be invested to support the development of the tourism industry. On December 12th, a site meeting was held to promote the implementation of the spirit of the provincial tourism development conference in Guangdong. The meeting proposed to promote the implementation of the "three hundred" plan for cultural tourism investment, that is, to promote 100 major projects under construction and 100 key investment projects, to coordinate provincial financial investment of 10 billion yuan to support the development of tourism industry in the next five years, and to accelerate the implementation of the list of 100 major projects under construction and 100 key investment projects.

Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.Bai Zhongen: Under special circumstances, short-term breakthrough in deficit and debt may help solve long-term problems. Bai Zhongen, president of Tsinghua University Institute of Economics and Management and vice chairman of the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce, said that in the understanding and implementation of policies, there are sometimes some stereotypes, which make us bound by these stereotypes. Breaking these constraints is very important for our policy understanding and policy implementation. The first mindset is that it will bring moral hazard if the central government helps local governments pay their debts. The second mindset, in the past, some people insisted that the deficit should not exceed a certain proportion and the debt should not exceed a certain proportion. He bluntly said that the upper limit of debt and deficit also depends on short-term and long-term. In the long run, we can't have too many deficits and too many debts. Therefore, when we encounter special circumstances in the short term, we should allow the deficit and debt to exceed a certain ratio.Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.

The strength of the policy is in line with expectations. The New Year's market may have started, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) can be used as a key layout. On December 13th, as of midday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) fell by 2%, with a turnover of 115 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Yangtze Power leads the rise; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the meeting, CITIC Jiantou said that the meeting of the Central Economic Work Conference continued the main tone of the Politburo meeting on Monday, and made systematic arrangements for economic work next year. Next year's policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the policy strength and direction are in line with our expectations. With the support of policy expectation and liquidity, the current new year's market has been launched, and it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of shock upward. Focus on industries: non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain, etc. Topics of concern: duality and innovation, supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.The United States International Trade Commission made the final ruling on the third double-reverse sunset review of raw rubber magnetism, China Trade Relief Information Network, December 12, The United States International Trade Commission (ITC) voted to make the affirmative final ruling on the third anti-dumping sunset review of Raw Flexible Magnets imported from Chinese mainland and Taiwan Province, and the affirmative final ruling on the third countervailing sunset review of raw rubber magnets imported from Chinese mainland: it ruled that if the current anti-dumping and countervailing measures are abolished, the substantial damage caused by the import of the products involved may continue or recur in the reasonably foreseeable period. According to the final ruling, the current anti-dumping and countervailing measures in this case continue to be effective.The net purchase of southbound funds reached 5 billion yuan.